Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.563747 3.789569 4.030593 4.308428 4.621706 4.966244 5.376941
2024-10-27 3.189087 3.474443 3.792737 4.178166 4.638012 5.176837 5.868223
2024-11-03 3.048735 3.395428 3.798230 4.309666 4.955552 5.765025 6.893946
2024-11-10 2.957192 3.360829 3.848050 4.495886 5.362811 6.530878 8.324669
2024-11-17 2.771575 3.195048 3.720347 4.443002 5.454020 6.898293 9.309552
2024-11-24 2.595358 3.026733 3.573978 4.348750 5.475490 7.173005 10.246181
2024-12-01 2.452801 2.890837 3.458142 4.283342 5.529379 7.510317 11.424018
2024-12-08 2.335518 2.779673 3.366142 4.241565 5.613203 7.917345 12.928524
2024-12-15 2.270598 2.733274 3.358221 4.320463 5.898693 8.746476 15.843773
2024-12-22 2.138120 2.587426 3.200802 4.159312 5.767031 8.775831 16.861069
2024-12-29 2.076273 2.534929 3.172420 4.194235 5.976904 9.542894 20.673142
2025-01-05 2.012462 2.475825 3.129986 4.202343 6.141381 10.275061 25.431718
2025-01-12 1.911106 2.367255 3.020365 4.113314 6.157418 10.797975 31.197302
2025-01-19 1.808670 2.251798 2.892998 3.982971 6.075688 11.075274 37.081481
2025-01-26 1.772328 2.229741 2.906240 4.094911 6.511277 13.009174 68.934638
2025-02-02 1.748154 2.223894 2.944229 4.257031 7.107948 16.026810 278.318023
2025-02-09 1.681396 2.150504 2.869000 4.202549 7.199336 17.413726 6760.124584
2025-02-16 1.613128 2.071455 2.779488 4.111870 7.186385 18.429639 NaN
2025-02-23 1.555271 2.005601 2.707635 4.048401 7.233205 19.868965 NaN
2025-03-02 1.505782 1.950321 2.649944 4.007158 7.333643 21.835770 NaN
2025-03-09 1.478656 1.928356 2.646755 4.075612 7.763144 26.849558 NaN
2025-03-16 1.417735 1.850726 2.543921 3.927671 7.526342 26.674153 NaN
2025-03-23 1.389324 1.823274 2.526145 3.957336 7.841988 32.226406 NaN